Clueless-Bee
0xa9cf59fb2d3f9dd8725b328f2116429b844b0b6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$171.89
Total PnL
$-156.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
104 shares @ 10.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$103.83
$92.83
- NO
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during the May meeting?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$33.33
$30.33
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
27 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$26.58
$5.58
- YES
Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
6 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.00
$1.50
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$2.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
522 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
263 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
254 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
227 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
92 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?$7.10Dec 8, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$11.00Dec 8, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Dec 8, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?$11.00Dec 8, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMSenators vs. Maple Leafs$0.00Apr 28, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEM10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?$5.17Apr 28, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 200–224 times April 18–25?$6.25Apr 28, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Maple Leafs$2.00Apr 20, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUY10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?$3.00Apr 20, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$80.00Apr 20, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?$10.00Apr 20, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$21.00Apr 20, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$20.00Apr 20, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$100.00Apr 20, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?$1.58Apr 20, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?$1.20Apr 20, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?$4.50Apr 20, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 200–224 times April 18–25?$1.00Apr 20, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$5.00Apr 20, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$5.00Apr 20, 04:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $13.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 04:06 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 13:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.