Arctic-Installation
0xa9d0ffbc75d0824d7d6890d498a0770c2936cc17
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 11?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 12?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 19?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 27?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 5?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 22?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 25?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$90.09Jun 2, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$90.00Jun 1, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?$89.09May 30, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.34May 30, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?$89.01May 30, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$89.09May 30, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$89.00May 26, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$89.09May 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$89.00May 19, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$89.18May 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$89.00May 15, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$88.99May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$88.90May 12, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on May 9?$1.16May 10, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on May 9?$1.13May 9, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?$86.09May 9, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?$86.01May 9, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on May 9?$1.16May 9, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.34May 9, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on May 9?$1.13May 9, 07:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $44.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 06:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".