Rotating-Sow
0xa9dd062f5d4403c70afefdc52110b9f74ad2e868
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$80.70
Total PnL
$-4.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
48 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$48.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
18 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.04
$0.30
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
15 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$14.61
$1.61
- HASHIRAS
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
12 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.67May 26, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.29May 26, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Hashiras vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs$6.09May 25, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$13.00May 25, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$48.00May 25, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$11.20May 25, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$19.25May 25, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$50.35May 25, 16:24 UTC
- REWARD$0.91Apr 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$9.00Apr 24, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 24, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$7.91Apr 24, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWild vs. Lightning$0.00Apr 24, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMSenators vs. Red Wings$30.30Apr 24, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Jets$32.61Apr 24, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWild vs. Lightning$15.00Mar 24, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Red Wings$14.24Mar 24, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Jets$15.00Mar 24, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$30.33Mar 24, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$17.74Feb 21, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $110.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 3, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.