Cold-Surrounds
0xa9de411b9050d1ebc0c5a57bbed99cc63d2cbfe7
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$36.29
Total PnL
$2.73
Realised
$-4.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
115 shares @ 20.1¢·now 30.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$34.52
$11.44
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
25 shares @ 5.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.48
$-0.88
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.19
$-0.80
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.07
$-1.33
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.45Jun 9, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.48Jun 9, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.73May 21, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$1.03May 21, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.96May 21, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04May 20, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04May 20, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.43May 20, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$90.75May 14, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$30.09May 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.36May 14, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$9.71May 14, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$101.68May 14, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$14.86May 13, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.72May 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.96May 13, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.78May 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.38May 13, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.87May 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.54May 13, 20:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 18:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 00:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.