Organic-Protest
0xa9e2dcbc2d731eae8627debdbdf94bac97db7332
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-928.64
Win rate
0%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
644 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
500 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-67.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
388 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-219.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
379 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-173.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
321 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-96.24
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
288 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-152.60
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
150 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
97 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-43.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
62 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-31.75
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
54 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Feb 2, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$2.00Feb 1, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$2.30Jan 31, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 30, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 30, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$4.00Jan 30, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$12.00Jan 30, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$7.32Jan 1, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$11.84Jan 1, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$48.00Jan 1, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - January 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$4.08Jan 1, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$11.11Jan 1, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$14.30Jan 1, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$14.95Jan 1, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - January 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$24.75Jan 1, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$20.40Jan 1, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$2.50Jan 1, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$0.80Jan 1, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$0.80Jan 1, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$0.93Jan 1, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 19:36 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 10:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.