Disguised-Gallery
0xa9e497d7e66589277705bfa37434f73a7317dd4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-62.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
4653 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-12.32
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-11.50
- NO
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?
861 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-8.94
- NO
Will Kamala Harris concede by Friday?
803 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-11.31
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
634 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-8.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?$4.76Nov 14, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?$13.80Nov 8, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?$8.94Nov 7, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris concede by Friday?$11.31Nov 6, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$8.88Nov 6, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.82Nov 6, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$11.50Nov 6, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$11.50Nov 6, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?$10.00Oct 8, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $9.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 13:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".