Bumpy-Orchestra
0xaa04d64ebdc1c25a30d4ca5903d870ee8a347c15
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$6.82
Total PnL
$-23.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Nicole Scherzinger win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Musical 2025?
7 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$6.82
$3.82
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 9–16?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 9–16?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump approval >40% on June 1?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?
24 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Dominance Up or Down this week?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?
13 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$0.00
$-8.05
- YES
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 9–16?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Audra McDonald win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Musical 2025?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?$0.00May 26, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMMaple Leafs vs. Panthers$0.00May 23, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicole Scherzinger win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Musical 2025?$3.00May 22, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Audra McDonald win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Musical 2025?$3.00May 22, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110k in May?$6.25May 22, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?$8.05May 19, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brighton win on 2025-05-19?$0.44May 19, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win on 2025-05-19?$1.00May 19, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30?$1.00May 19, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.4% on May 23?$1.00May 19, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during his May 13 interview?$0.00May 19, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$10.61May 19, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?$0.00May 14, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Stars$0.00May 14, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid beat Barcelona?$0.00May 14, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$4.35May 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during his May 13 interview?$1.00May 14, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his May 13 interview?$2.00May 14, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Dominance Up or Down this week?$1.00May 11, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaple Leafs vs. Panthers$1.00May 11, 12:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 13:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 18:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.