Zany-Insolence
0xaa05715849bbc4c6211d3ed8690345cce5204908
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$53.00
Total PnL
$-234.23
Realised
$65.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
100 shares @ 67.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
8500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-55.99
- YES
Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?
1600 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-184.99
- YES
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?
200 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.80
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
142 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.33
- YES
Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
7 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$67.88Jul 19, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?$58.32Jul 19, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?$31.00Jul 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$127.50Jul 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?$35.74Jul 17, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$71.82Jul 11, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$68.70Jul 11, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$32.67Jul 11, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$22.29Jul 2, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$28.13Jul 2, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?$2.96May 26, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?$0.43May 26, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?$0.25May 26, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?$0.42May 26, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?$0.44May 26, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?$0.21May 26, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?$0.21May 26, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?$0.30May 26, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?$1.50May 26, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?$1.21May 26, 09:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 11:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.