Frayed-Pigeon
0xaa16a168aa67b236ddfb4ac744d33eb773860b36
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-110.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
21356 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-30.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
10406 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.79
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1080 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19?
327 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-42.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 19, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19?$42.50Jan 19, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$5.10Jan 19, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$15.30Jan 19, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$5.62Jan 19, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$16.00Jan 19, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$30.30Jan 19, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$20.80Jan 19, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$30.50Jan 19, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $18.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 11:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 13:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".