Natural-Independent
0xaa1ee66151030fb1bb5a77edd8bc71d50547950e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$10.08
Total PnL
$-109.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 16.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.98
$-4.02
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.09
$-5.91
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?
1491 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with Isaac Herzog at the World Economic Forum?
1300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with Keir Starmer at the World Economic Forum?
1200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with Ursula von der Leyen at the World Economic Forum?
857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with Mark Carney at the World Economic Forum?
571 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with He Lifeng at the World Economic Forum?
557 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with Friedrich Merz at the World Economic Forum?
450 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with Aleksandar Vučić at the World Economic Forum?
80 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Feb 5, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 4, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 3, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 2, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 1, 00:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 31, 00:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 29, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 28, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 27, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 26, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 25, 00:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 24, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with Friedrich Merz at the World Economic Forum?$5.00Jan 23, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with He Lifeng at the World Economic Forum?$7.00Jan 23, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with Isaac Herzog at the World Economic Forum?$7.00Jan 23, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with Aleksandar Vučić at the World Economic Forum?$4.00Jan 23, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?$4.00Jan 23, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with Mark Carney at the World Economic Forum?$4.00Jan 23, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with Ursula von der Leyen at the World Economic Forum?$6.00Jan 23, 15:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $7.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 00:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".