Winged-Gathering
0xaa22ab6e0e757c4f2ad280ff251280aca09a2303
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-885.99
Realised
$-225.17
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 29?
300 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-27.27
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 30?
300 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-27.27
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on May 29?
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 29?
295 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-26.82
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on May 29?
295 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-26.82
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 30?
250 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-22.73
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 30?
223 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.27
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 30?
219 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.91
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 29?
141 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-12.83
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 30?
131 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 2?$157.84Jul 3, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 2?$157.54Jul 2, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?$1.55Jul 2, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?$16.87Jul 2, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?$16.06Jul 2, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 1?$24.18Jul 1, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 1?$53.57Jul 1, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 1?$14.90Jul 1, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 1?$14.89Jul 1, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 1?$53.52Jul 1, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 1?$9.80Jul 1, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 1?$14.33Jul 1, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 30?$6.14Jun 30, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 30?$5.48Jun 30, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 30?$0.64Jun 30, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 30?$18.52Jun 30, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 30?$1.7KJun 30, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 30?$1.7KJun 30, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 30?$17.46Jun 30, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 29?$30.00Jun 30, 02:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $199.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 03:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.