Hidden-Echidna
0xaa358ec688a00c3b7385614e7c35741ff1e43243
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.76
Total PnL
$-3.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "China" during Pennsylvania events?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Trump say "Japan" during Pennsylvania events?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$1.16Jun 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$1.01Jun 23, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 23, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Japan" during Pennsylvania events?$1.01Jun 23, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" during Pennsylvania events?$1.01Jun 23, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$1.00Jun 23, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.76Jun 23, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$1.02Jun 23, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$1.02Jun 23, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.16Jun 23, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 17, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 17, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$1.00Jun 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.00Jun 17, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jun 17, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$1.01Jun 17, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$0.99Jun 17, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$1.30May 12, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$1.01May 12, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$1.01May 12, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 06:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.