Firsthand-Tomb
0xaa3673f9529704e29ab15352e82a92641704b52c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
25469 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.7K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
18408 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
9889 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- SPIRIT ACADEMY
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz - Game 2 Winner
2173 shares @ 65.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- SPIRIT ACADEMY
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
1698 shares @ 59.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Argentina to score first vs. Spain?
1032 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-402.30
- SPIRIT ACADEMY
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz - Game 1 Winner
755 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
733 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
647 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
374 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.14Jul 20, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$340.98Jul 20, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$170.60Jul 20, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$354.27Jul 20, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$169.73Jul 20, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$523.77Jul 20, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$35.35Jul 20, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$491.13Jul 20, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$61.83Jul 20, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$460.73Jul 20, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$522.84Jul 20, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$3.0KJul 20, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$207.82Jul 20, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$203.31Jul 20, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$209.28Jul 20, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$208.35Jul 20, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$520.85Jul 20, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Jul 20, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$18.11Jul 20, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$247.28Jul 20, 20:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $362.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 19:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.