Capital-Evaporation
0xaa396462a65fe8c63fbd7df2069ebee91c86ed4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$6.26
Total PnL
$-19.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
278 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.26
$0.97
- YES
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-11-22?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- TEAM FALCONS
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3)
1980 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.98
- ADDED
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Dan Added vs Francesco Passaro
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Verona win on 2025-11-02?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$4.83Mar 15, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$0.66Mar 15, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.76Mar 15, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.76Mar 15, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.76Mar 15, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$0.44Mar 15, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.14Feb 28, 06:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Feb 25, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.26Feb 24, 04:43 UTC
- REWARD$0.26Feb 24, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Feb 23, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.19Feb 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.29Jan 20, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?$1.00Jan 1, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-01?$1.00Jan 1, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming (BO3)$1.23Jan 1, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$1.23Jan 1, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$2.31Jan 1, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?$2.50Jan 1, 09:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.