Sudden-Atom
0xaa3a46a1da050ef359f7a126ab3565312808e29a
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$802.71
Total PnL
$26.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
554 shares @ 52.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$307.31
$19.38
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
558 shares @ 17.9¢·now 40.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$223.08
$123.08
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1122 shares @ 14.7¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$162.66
$-2.54
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.50
$-6.50
- YES
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
395 shares @ 19.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.62
$-48.38
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
222 shares @ 27.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.56
$-34.44
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
101 shares @ 34.6¢·now 20.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.99
$-14.01
- YES
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
257 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.