Grand-Dancer
0xaa3dd4c46dab771427b621ea8f52063802fe8966
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-909.65
Realised
$-1.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy booster?
1137 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?
257 shares @ 77.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 24?
248 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-124.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 85-86°F on August 12?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on August 29?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $4300 August 25–31?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4400 and $4600 on August 29?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4200 and $4400 on August 29?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $110K on August 29?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFrench election called by September 15?$3.0KSep 16, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by September 15?$3.0KSep 10, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMBayrou out as French PM by September 30?$2.9KSep 9, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$0.95Sep 6, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams drop out first?$0.94Sep 5, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams drop out first?$1.00Sep 5, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams drop out?$0.57Sep 5, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams drop out?$1.00Sep 5, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$1.00Sep 5, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?$0.44Sep 5, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?$1.00Sep 5, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?$0.86Sep 5, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?$1.00Sep 5, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2025-09-04?$1.02Sep 5, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mali win on 2025-09-04?$1.11Sep 5, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?$0.54Sep 5, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$0.54Sep 5, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?$0.93Sep 5, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?$0.85Sep 5, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?$1.11Sep 5, 11:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $66.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 1, 17:48 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 16, 21:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".