Plaintive-Collectivisation
0xaa4541f003a69dedecb025ac690cbb1b827d1ef6
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
101
Open notional
$2.91
Total PnL
$-162.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?
111 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-2.06
- YES
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Meta acquire TikTok?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-1.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 5?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Google be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
1252 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 5?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get less than 10 million views the first week?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.05May 14, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 14, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.06May 14, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.06May 14, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 14, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?$0.00Mar 19, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?$0.00Mar 19, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$0.00Mar 19, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?$5.00Dec 6, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 5?$2.00Dec 5, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Dec 5, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.00Dec 5, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 11:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 03:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".