Sparse-Apartment
0xaa46527c8328866b8992e807260eb2ba15d04a23
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$420.99
Total PnL
$-86.08
Realised
$15.48
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
102 shares @ 58.7¢·now 45.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.15
$-13.86
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
41 shares @ 81.9¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.48
$-0.97
- NO
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
22 shares @ 89.8¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.74
$1.74
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
27 shares @ 67.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.10
$1.70
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
49 shares @ 49.8¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.45
$-5.05
- NO
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.67
$1.67
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$11.60
$1.60
- NO
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
14 shares @ 83.9¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.89
$-0.61
- NO
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.59
$0.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$74.221d ago
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $24.105d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$8.408d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$9.509d ago
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$6.0012d ago
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.0012d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.8014d ago
- TRADESELLWill Plasma reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?$0.0214d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat?$3.2214d ago
- TRADESELLWill Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?$10.7114d ago
- TRADESELLWill Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?$10.2314d ago
- TRADESELLWill Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.5314d ago
- TRADESELLWill both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?$1.9314d ago
- TRADESELLWill Christopher Bouchat win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?$1.2414d ago
- TRADESELLWill Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?$1.4614d ago
- TRADESELLConservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?$1.7814d ago
- TRADESELLWill Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?$1.6214d ago
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.8214d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?$0.5514d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?$6.8414d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.