Favorite-Piety
0xaa469fee092cbafb9672419b4f186c9702c93b2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$21.00
Total PnL
$-0.85
Realised
$-2.42
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$6.00
$0.01
- YES
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
5 shares @ 31.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$5.00
$3.42
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$5.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
5 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.00
$1.15
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
17 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Manchester United wins the Premier League?
10 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?
10 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?
10 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?
10 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.46
- YES
Will someone else be inaugurated?
9 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$3.85Oct 24, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves vs. Arsenal end in a draw?$1.05Jan 23, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$5.99Jan 21, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$4.99Jan 21, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?$5.60Jan 21, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$1.09Jan 20, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?$1.57Jan 20, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?$4.11Jan 11, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?$2.34Jan 11, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?$5.50Jan 11, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$3.85Jan 11, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?$4.01Jan 10, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$2.65Jan 10, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chargers win the AFC Championship?$15.04Jan 10, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chargers win the AFC Championship?$15.82Jan 10, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.28Jan 10, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill someone else be inaugurated?$16.64Jan 9, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill someone else be inaugurated?$0.40Jan 9, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill someone else be inaugurated?$0.06Jan 9, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$17.19Jan 9, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $7.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 12:20 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 24, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".