Naive-Wire
0xaa46d752750eba329f6c6d8d6e85f2bac2cd733f
Quality score
70/100
Open positions
9
Open notional
$189.72
Total PnL
$-384.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1196 shares @ 16.7¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.56
$-120.44
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
3748 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$44.97
$-105.02
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
43 shares @ 47.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$41.89
$21.89
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
282 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.29
$-0.71
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
2794 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
364 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0016h ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- YIELD$0.009d ago
- YIELD$0.0010d ago
- YIELD$0.0011d ago
- YIELD$0.0012d ago
- YIELD$0.0013d ago
- YIELD$0.0014d ago
- YIELD$0.0015d ago
- YIELD$0.0016d ago
- YIELD$0.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$24.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$20.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20.0017d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $41.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 103d ago
- Last active
- 16h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.