Adorable-Referendum
0xaa4ceafa2163dd9b59fd96ffff346235e1a292c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-105.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $80000 on April 4?
5035 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
566 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
294 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
244 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80000 on April 4?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
136 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?$10.00Sep 5, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$26.36Sep 5, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Aug 15, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Aug 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$10.00Jun 4, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$10.00Apr 12, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$30.00Apr 12, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $80000 on April 4?$5.00Apr 4, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $80000 on April 4?$10.00Apr 4, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $80000 on April 4?$10.00Apr 4, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot?$0.00Mar 19, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?$0.00Mar 19, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMAny redactions in JFK files?$0.00Mar 19, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMTrump releases JFK files by Tuesday?$39.57Mar 19, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?$78.13Mar 19, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump releases JFK files by Tuesday?$25.00Mar 18, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny redactions in JFK files?$10.00Mar 18, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot?$25.00Jan 3, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a US Government shutdown? $0.00Jan 2, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMRavens vs. Texans$0.00Jan 2, 20:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $37.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 5, 17:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".