Monumental-Waterbed
0xaa4e4ef6c81997c0924e27378f354dbfa2d7d3dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.66
Total PnL
$0.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?
1 shares @ 67.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.48
$0.48
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 88.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on October 15?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$1.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.40 on October 15?$1.00Oct 15, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?$1.00Oct 15, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 15, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?$1.23Oct 15, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$1.34Oct 15, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?$1.20Jul 1, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$1.10Jul 1, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$0.00Jul 1, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?$0.00Jul 1, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.11Jul 1, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Jazz$1.45Jul 1, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? $2.39Jul 1, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?$1.20Jan 10, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Jazz$1.10Jan 10, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Jan 10, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high in 2024?$0.00Jan 10, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$1.22Jan 10, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$1.33Jan 10, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMBlues vs. Stars$0.00Dec 25, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$1.15Dec 25, 05:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $497.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 02:45 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 15, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".