Trusty-Strawman
0xaa53ce93a8b0bad27c8c2ac53c1c85d38f506e0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.04
Total PnL
$-10.20
Realised
$-0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.87
- YES
GTA VI released in 2025?
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will CME self certify a sports contract in 2025?
2 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$145.68May 11, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$122.22May 11, 11:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$145.03May 8, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$143.94May 8, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$145.03May 8, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$122.01May 8, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$121.50May 8, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$122.01May 8, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$78.39Mar 28, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$78.00Mar 26, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$77.45Mar 26, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$78.00Mar 26, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$159.41Feb 20, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$160.00Feb 18, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be less than 5 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?$1.01Feb 18, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be less than 5 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?$1.00Jan 26, 06:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $50.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 07:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.