Baggy-Policeman
0xaa5cbd69217869ffa1f01c9aa5e83071bcebf4b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-33.89
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
337 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
211 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-29.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
136 shares @ 76.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-104.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
119 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-61.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
114 shares @ 88.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-101.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
108 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-45.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
105 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
100 shares @ 82.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-83.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$7.02Aug 2, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$7.22Aug 2, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$7.01Aug 2, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$8.16Jul 31, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Jul 31, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$1.09Jul 31, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$1.01Jul 31, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.04Jul 31, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.00Jul 31, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.03Jul 31, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.00Jul 31, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$1.05Jul 31, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.02Jul 31, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.00Jul 31, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.02Jul 31, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.00Jul 31, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.18Jul 31, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.01Jul 31, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.01Jul 31, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.00Jul 31, 01:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 21:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 03:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.