Timely-Notice
0xaa62c1cff816f302cd714b14ccb349487132d812
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$14.27
Total PnL
$-0.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
14 shares @ 91.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.27
$1.27
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$13.00Mar 18, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 15?$713.20Mar 4, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 15?$710.00Feb 12, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$1.00Jan 16, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$4.05Jan 16, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.20Nov 26, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.00Oct 11, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$3.00Sep 6, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $80 in May?$72.22Sep 6, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $80 in May?$72.00May 20, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.50 in April?$60.06May 20, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.50 in April?$60.00Apr 22, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,300 on March 7?$48.08Apr 22, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,300 on March 7?$25.00Mar 6, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $215 on January 10?$22.73Mar 6, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $215 on January 10?$10.00Jan 7, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?$0.00Jan 7, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?$14.50Dec 22, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMPelicans vs. Mavericks$0.00Dec 22, 04:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $75.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 10:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 05:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.