Vivid-Tonight
0xaa7154b49e384edf565e9e77c03214af61e52ada
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
106
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$-38.43
Realised
$9.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$10.00
$9.00
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
10 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$5.60
- YES
Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?
496 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Cup?
200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.88
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $112 end of November?
110 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ty Simpson win the Heisman Trophy?
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Gunner Stockton win the Heisman Trophy?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $122 end of November?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Walker Kessler lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJon Stewart cancelled by December 31?$0.01Jan 2, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$4.40Dec 2, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$0.80Nov 30, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$0.73Nov 30, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$0.49Nov 29, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.09Nov 29, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.08Nov 29, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.07Nov 29, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.07Nov 29, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $106 end of November?$10.00Nov 29, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of November?$10.00Nov 29, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $102 end of November?$10.00Nov 29, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $104 end of November?$11.31Nov 29, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$9.35Nov 29, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $112 end of November?$1.00Nov 26, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $122 end of November?$0.56Nov 25, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Cup?$0.11Nov 25, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Cup?$0.10Nov 25, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Cup?$0.02Nov 25, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $122 end of November?$0.39Nov 24, 13:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 05:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".