Lanky-Imitation
0xaa7226fea2ffbab5053facb3f5f1657d3cb074b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$12.41
Total PnL
$-0.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on October 26?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$4.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on October 25?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$3.00
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$2.38
$0.38
- YES
Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 26?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Nets
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on October 25?$3.00Oct 24, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on October 26?$4.00Oct 24, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 26?$1.00Oct 24, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ANO form a government after Czech election ?$2.00Oct 24, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 25?$2.00Oct 24, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWizards vs. Jazz$2.04Oct 24, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Nets$1.00Jul 16, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Jazz$1.00Jul 16, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMOle Miss vs. Auburn$1.14Jul 16, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMMorgan State vs. Norfolk State$1.74Jul 16, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMorgan State vs. Norfolk State$1.50Mar 14, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYOle Miss vs. Auburn$1.00Mar 14, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?$1.01Mar 14, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?$1.00Jan 31, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine strike on Moscow before November?$0.00Jan 31, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maria do Rosário win the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election?$0.00Jan 31, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?$0.00Jan 31, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?$0.12Nov 12, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?$0.13Nov 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Minnesota US Senate Election?$0.81Oct 11, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 4, 06:07 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 24, 21:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.