Bulky-Flame
0xaa73ec84807c68b87752ca1ca71d11806f01c2c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$773.75
Total PnL
$-563.01
Realised
$-16.61
Win rate
28%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
2500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 30.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$773.75
$598.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on April 22?
969 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 15?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 23?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or below on April 24?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 21?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 21?
634 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 22?
475 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 8?
338 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.51
Recent activity
- REDEEMGame Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)$1.45Jul 26, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$3.45Jul 26, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMGame Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)$1.47Jul 26, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$1.72Jul 26, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 27?$1.04Jul 26, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)$1.02Jul 26, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$1.02Jul 26, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$1.04Jul 26, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)$1.02Jul 26, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.03Jul 26, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.02Jul 26, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$1.02Jul 26, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$1.49Jul 25, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.95Jul 25, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$1.92Jul 25, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?$1.62Jul 25, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Swiss Stage$1.75Jul 25, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$3.23Jul 25, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMMap Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)$1.45Jul 25, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?$2.06Jul 25, 06:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
28% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 14:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 23:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.