Trim-Fixture
0xaa75804793d61e57a2e29d003d6e2a2f74380047
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on December 4?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?
717 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 13?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?
533 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 October 20-26?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 8?
190 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$95.19Jun 23, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$95.01Jun 8, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$95.09Jun 8, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$95.00Jun 1, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?$95.19Jun 1, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?$95.01May 23, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 17?$1.00May 23, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 17?$1.10May 23, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 98°F or higher on May 17?$1.20May 23, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?$91.09May 23, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?$91.00May 17, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 17?$1.00May 17, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 17?$1.10May 17, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 98°F or higher on May 17?$1.20May 17, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?$1.71May 17, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?$96.10May 17, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?$96.01May 12, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$96.10May 12, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$96.01May 7, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$96.10May 7, 10:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $78.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 03:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 06:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.