Gruesome-Bond
0xaa78764f086a8b515ee9c01913038b3999b6f017
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$9.48
Total PnL
$-5.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 3?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.97
$0.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 3?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 3?
1 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 3?
1 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?
1 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 3?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Kostas Karamanlis be next Greek President?
585 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.17
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 14?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 3?$1.83Mar 1, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?$1.00Mar 1, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?$1.00Mar 1, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?$1.00Mar 1, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 3?$1.00Mar 1, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 3?$1.00Mar 1, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 3?$1.00Mar 1, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 3?$1.00Mar 1, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.43Mar 1, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.47Mar 1, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?$2.03Mar 1, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.2m?$2.20Mar 1, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.2m?$2.00Feb 13, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?$2.00Feb 13, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 13, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 13, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 13, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 15?$1.00Feb 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 14?$1.00Feb 13, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $52.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 19:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".