Crazy-Cranberry
0xaa81efdc21ae5511553e76d60fb1a845f999aaf7
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$157.63
Total PnL
$-515.89
Realised
$76.86
Win rate
33%
76 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
375 shares @ 1.2¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$54.56
$50.06
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
102 shares @ 5.4¢·now 26.8¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$27.24
$21.74
- YES
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North?
591 shares @ 0.1¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jan 4, 2027$20.68
$20.08
- YES
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.50
$6.50
- YES
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
110 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.65
$1.65
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?
100 shares @ 7.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.50
$-0.56
- YES
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$4.28
$2.28
- YES
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
183 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$3.57
$-1.93
- NO
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$2.06
$-2.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? $4.55Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?$9.00Jun 13, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?$4.96Jun 13, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?$0.82Jun 13, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?$6.78Jun 13, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?$3.70Jun 13, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$10.00Jun 13, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?$7.20Jun 13, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?$9.99Jun 13, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?$0.72Jun 13, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$5.00Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?$5.03Jun 13, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?$10.00Jun 13, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?$2.56Jun 13, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLTread FDV above $150M one day after launch$1.01Jun 13, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?$9.27Jun 13, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?$10.00Jun 13, 11:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 76 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.