Raw-Mayonnaise
0xaa82fab2457ede1853a1286bb6cd1dd645e215d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-257.08
Realised
$15.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?
14333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-22.99
- YES
Will another candidate win the Irish Presidential Election?
800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
549 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Will Israel strike 2 countries in October 2025?
198 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
139 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fuck" again by October 31?
133 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Malaysia events on October 26?
124 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 26?
106 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$9.00Jan 10, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$7.02Jan 10, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$2.00Dec 10, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$0.36Dec 10, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out in 2025?$0.10Dec 10, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"?$0.55Dec 10, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$0.31Dec 10, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$0.26Dec 10, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit India in 2025?$0.29Dec 10, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?$0.34Dec 10, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$0.88Dec 10, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump removes income tax on individuals making <$150k?$0.42Dec 10, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?$1.25Dec 10, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$15.91Nov 15, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$20.00Nov 8, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$50.00Oct 29, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex West Bank territory in 2025?$79.24Oct 28, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex West Bank territory in 2025?$91.00Oct 26, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$20.00Oct 26, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$2.00Oct 26, 21:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 19:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".