Querulous-Arrest
0xaa974d356e76e996d684453166c60174ef2d7950
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
112
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-353.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- YES
Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Madani never leads in any round
1940 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Adrienne Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Brad Lander win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 11–18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$1.00Jun 10, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$1.00Jun 10, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?$1.10Jun 8, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?$1.01Jun 8, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?$1.05Jun 8, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$1.15Jun 8, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$1.01Jun 8, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?$1.00Jun 7, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?$1.00Jun 7, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?$1.00Jun 7, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 0-19 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.00Jun 5, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 0-19 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.00Jun 5, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.16Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.01Jun 3, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.01Jun 2, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.00Jun 2, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?$1.00Jun 2, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?$1.00Jun 1, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMJazz vs. Kings$1.69Mar 18, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Wizards$2.11Mar 18, 19:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 10:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.