Grizzled-Glasses
0xaa9831fd871e0a1d6a2c40307ecfedf4ff676e3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
189
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-0.18
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 189- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
1500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
534 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
263 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
248 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
207 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$5.22Jul 17, 13:47 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$5.44Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.06Jun 25, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.04Jun 25, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.02Jun 25, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Jun 25, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.01Jun 25, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.01Jun 25, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Jun 25, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Jun 25, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.04Jun 25, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.00Jun 25, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.01Jun 25, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Jun 25, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.01Jun 25, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Jun 25, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.02Jun 25, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.01Jun 25, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Jun 25, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Jun 25, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 16:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.