Esteemed-Aftermath
0xaa9b1a7d1fbb7f0019f30cf9013a403a2136553f
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$4.38
Total PnL
$-109.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
33 shares @ 10.7¢·now 13.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.38
$0.88
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 45% and 46%?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?
207 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-47.50
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%?
200 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?
149 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.93
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
147 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 49% and 50%?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 49%?
118 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 47% and 48%?
108 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?$22.00Feb 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$3.50Feb 2, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?$25.50Jan 30, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%?$24.00Jan 30, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$4.00Jan 24, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Jan 24, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?$14.93Jan 24, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Jan 24, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 45%?$0.00Jan 20, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?$0.00Jan 20, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?$11.12Jan 20, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$78.65Jan 20, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?$3.67Jan 18, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Jan 18, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?$1.16Jan 18, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 45%?$1.00Jan 18, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 45% and 46%?$1.00Jan 18, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 47%?$1.50Jan 18, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 47% and 48%?$1.50Jan 18, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 49%?$2.00Jan 18, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $8.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".