Suburban-Notation
0xaaa2cde772ab98ea86c9c323802f96daf03ec75f
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$221.74
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$117.32
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- YES
Will Apple say "Sport" during earnings call?
111 shares @ 41.3¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$76.89
$30.89
- YES
Will Apple say "Health" during earnings call?
62 shares @ 48.1¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$47.70
$17.70
- YES
Will Apple say "Roadmap" during earnings call?
91 shares @ 33.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$45.00
$15.00
- YES
Will Apple say "Mac" 10+ times during earnings call?
36 shares @ 83.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$26.91
$-3.09
- YES
Will Apple say "Friday Night Baseball" during earnings call?
30 shares @ 15.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$14.40
$9.90
- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1084 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$10.84
$-14.16
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
355 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-51.50
- YES
Will the announcers say "Off Target" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
314 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
285 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-38.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Microsoft say "GitHub" 10+ times during earnings call?$30.77Jul 30, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta say "Reality Lab" during earnings call?$30.82Jul 30, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta say "World Cup" during earnings call?$61.45Jul 30, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta say "Facebook" 10+ times during earnings call?$90.46Jul 30, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft say "Database" during earnings call?$37.88Jul 29, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft say "Helios" during earnings call?$109.38Jul 29, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "Database" during earnings call?$25.34Jul 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "Layoff / Job Cut" during earnings call?$15.53Jul 28, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "Helios" during earnings call?$35.95Jul 28, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "GitHub" 10+ times during earnings call?$16.31Jul 28, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta say "World Cup" during earnings call?$15.45Jul 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta say "Oakley" during earnings call?$8.23Jul 28, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta say "Facebook" 10+ times during earnings call?$60.81Jul 28, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta say "Reality Lab" during earnings call?$22.74Jul 28, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta say "Algorithm" during earnings call?$10.28Jul 28, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "Roadmap" during earnings call?$30.80Jul 28, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "Health" during earnings call?$30.62Jul 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "Mac" 10+ times during earnings call?$30.20Jul 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "Friday Night Baseball" during earnings call?$4.65Jul 28, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "Sport" during earnings call?$47.08Jul 28, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $24.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 01:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.