Puzzling-Toad
0xaaa4d30cabb56ef03549c85b5903f58ce5a00d64
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$118.38
Total PnL
$0.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
28 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$28.13
$0.08
- NO
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$10.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$28.05Mar 1, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$10.00Mar 1, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$20.00Mar 1, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$20.00Mar 1, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$20.00Mar 1, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$20.00Mar 1, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMBrevis FDV above $800M one day after launch?$10.03Mar 1, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMBrevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?$10.08Mar 1, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 5-11?$17.71Mar 1, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?$20.02Mar 1, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?$20.04Mar 1, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.06Mar 1, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.10Mar 1, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 5-11?$17.52Jan 7, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?$20.00Jan 7, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?$20.00Jan 7, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?$10.00Jan 7, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrevis FDV above $800M one day after launch?$10.00Jan 7, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 7, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 7, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $24.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.