Ripe-Electricity
0xaaa64de7e730b44c4a572e5e6d38b94028ec143c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-405.82
Realised
$28.33
Win rate
82%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
1808 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 3?
901 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
599 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 9AM ET
569 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
419 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
329 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 16?
305 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?
177 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?
176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.47Feb 13, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.55Feb 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.93Feb 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$6.56Feb 13, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$6.55Feb 13, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.40Feb 13, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.40Feb 13, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.87Feb 12, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.89Feb 12, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.16Feb 12, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.92Feb 12, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$2.71Feb 12, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$2.47Feb 12, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.69Feb 12, 22:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 04:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 00:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.