Bubbly-Difference
0xaaa82dbae181dce3dd1de29c80c2aa0a6de95d61
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?
4348 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?
2389 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?
2023 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-800.00
- YES
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-13?
1958 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?
1637 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-486.80
- YES
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?
910 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will France vs. Ukraine end in a draw?
769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-16?
526 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 24-30?
395 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ukraine vs. Iceland end in a draw?
348 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$606.76Jan 21, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$599.97Jan 16, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.0KNov 27, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 24-30?$20.00Nov 27, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$1.8KNov 16, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine vs. Iceland end in a draw?$100.00Nov 15, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iceland win on 2025-11-16?$100.00Nov 15, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Ukraine end in a draw?$100.00Nov 13, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win on 2025-11-13?$100.00Nov 13, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$578.13Nov 13, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$1.1KOct 22, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.1KOct 22, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$132.68Oct 21, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLRussian strike on Poland by December 31?$132.68Oct 21, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$269.72Oct 21, 12:29 UTC
- REWARD$1.36Oct 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?$80.00Oct 2, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?$120.00Oct 2, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?$266.81Oct 1, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?$20.00Oct 1, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $464.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 16:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".