Murky-Desire
0xaaaeec35f159bb0b3d910717d9a9a5c788236538
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$28.21
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
6934 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-775.61
- NO
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
5217 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-56.44
- YES
Will Berachain launch a token in December?
1373 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-130.98
- NO
Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?
1301 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will Berachain launch in 2024?
1142 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-184.08
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
840 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-10.08
- NO
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?
500 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-195.00
- YES
UK civil war in 2024?
300 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- TRUMP
Who will win the debate according to polls?
100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2024$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
80 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-1.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$124.07Jun 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$100.00Jun 1, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$420.90Jun 1, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$39.17Jun 1, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$420.00Jun 1, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$542.54Jun 1, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$260.00Jun 1, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$360.00Jun 1, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$326.44Jun 1, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$59.21Jun 1, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$196.55Jun 1, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$51.95Jun 1, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$135.86Jun 1, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$338.36Jun 1, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$128.99Jun 1, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$100.00Jun 1, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$100.00Jun 1, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$200.00Jun 1, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$400.00Jun 1, 07:39 UTC
- REWARD$2.04May 31, 00:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $319.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 10:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 21:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".