Trivial-Cassava
0xaab63e8d1fcdc9d81db710387311ba1c80bd4f9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$58.21
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$7.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
66 shares @ 38.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$31.91
$6.91
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
217 shares @ 46.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.83
$-77.17
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
271 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.57
$-97.43
- YES
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
165 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.91
$-19.09
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
4963 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
1089 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-152.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
364 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
214 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
205 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
192 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elisa win the Legend Trade Series?$10.00Mar 31, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elisa win the Legend Trade Series?$20.00Mar 31, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$54.59Jan 14, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.0KJan 12, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$22.00Jan 12, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$100.00Jan 12, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$60.00Jan 11, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$25.00Jan 10, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$50.00Jan 10, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$105.00Jan 10, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$100.00Jan 10, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$100.00Jan 10, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$100.00Jan 10, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?$41.23Jan 9, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$0.00Dec 21, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$71.43Dec 21, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$30.00Dec 9, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?$20.00Dec 7, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$0.00Dec 2, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$10.00Dec 2, 20:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $62.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.