Klutzy-Mop
0xaab8197e8ece76ea4364ffe6f7872adef2b24664
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$684.03
Total PnL
$814.59
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
55%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
189 shares @ 49.5¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$161.51
$67.95
- YES
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?
197 shares @ 32.8¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.11
$-1.54
- NO
Hotstuff FDV above $200M one day after launch?
67 shares @ 84.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$57.89
$1.51
- NO
Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?
55 shares @ 91.1¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$50.57
$0.53
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 73.0¢·now 93.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$46.58
$10.07
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
40 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$33.56
$-0.04
- NO
TownSquare FDV above $350M one day after launch?
34 shares @ 85.6¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$28.81
$0.14
- YES
Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
253 shares @ 38.7¢·now 10.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$27.45
$-70.48
- NO
Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?
28 shares @ 83.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$23.94
$0.36
- NO
Hotstuff FDV above $300M one day after launch?
27 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$23.27
$-0.54
Recent activity
- REWARD$14.01Aug 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eastern Europe & CIS region win The International 2026?$50.64Aug 18, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTownSquare FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.07Aug 18, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTownSquare FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2.10Aug 18, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?$2.74Aug 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?$9.56Aug 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill There be 7-9 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?$4.42Aug 18, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBLAST Open Porto 2026: 10+ Knife Kills at the Event?$1.87Aug 18, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?$6.83Aug 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?$4.47Aug 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$0.91Aug 18, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLProbable FDV above $800M one day after launch?$14.24Aug 18, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$0.78Aug 18, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLTownSquare FDV above $400M one day after launch?$27.13Aug 18, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLTori FDV above $700M one day after launch?$1.03Aug 18, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eastern Europe & CIS region win The International 2026?$1.17Aug 18, 00:03 UTC
- REWARD$7.67Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eastern Europe & CIS region win The International 2026?$1.07Aug 17, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eastern Europe & CIS region win The International 2026?$1.95Aug 17, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eastern Europe & CIS region win The International 2026?$2.92Aug 17, 15:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $7.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 10:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.