Assured-Landform
0xaac63027368ea96b0604850d992544f3d218a655
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
562 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 22?
232 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 22?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tether acquire Circle before September?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 23?
139 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrej Karpathy join one of Elon Musk's companies by August 31?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$13.00Aug 21, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coinbase acquire Circle before September?$0.52Aug 21, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? $3.84Aug 21, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLZuckerberg divorce in 2025?$0.83Aug 21, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$4.07Aug 21, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?$0.93Aug 21, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before September?$3.93Aug 21, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrej Karpathy join one of Elon Musk's companies by August 31?$1.00Aug 20, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYZuckerberg divorce in 2025?$1.00Aug 20, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase acquire Circle before September?$1.00Aug 20, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?$1.00Aug 20, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by August 31?$1.00Aug 20, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Mobile smartphone released before September?$1.00Aug 20, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple acquire Perplexity before September?$1.00Aug 20, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Tether acquire Circle before September?$1.00Aug 20, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? $5.00Aug 20, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?$5.00Aug 20, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 22?$1.00Aug 20, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$5.00Aug 20, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on December 31?$5.00Aug 20, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 14:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.