0xaad1d06e5259824f93bbba8c2d27b147b24ed674
0xaad1d06e5259824f93bbba8c2d27b147b24ed674
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
113
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-335.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on January 20?
200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 35°F or below on January 15?
200 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on January 15?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C or below on January 15?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 15?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 39°F or below on January 16?
117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on January 16?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 19°F or below on January 20?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on January 15?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$4.92Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$9.97Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.01Feb 19, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$3.05Feb 18, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$3.10Feb 18, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$0.00Feb 18, 19:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $2.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 19:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.