Conventional-Proponent
0xaae56048c8e3069322a1857306455e20549cb252
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$32.29
Total PnL
$-25.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Trail Blazers
32 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$32.29
$11.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on October 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 5?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
75 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-30.64
- PHILLIES
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks
3 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- ASTROS
Mariners vs. Astros
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Trail Blazers$20.67Jan 11, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?$19.91Dec 8, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?$10.73Dec 8, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMMaple Leafs vs. Penguins$30.64Dec 8, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaple Leafs vs. Penguins$15.32Nov 29, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 5?$1.00Oct 5, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on October 5?$1.00Oct 5, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$1.00Oct 5, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$1.00Oct 5, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Galatasaray SK win on 2025-09-22?$2.44Oct 5, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Napoli win on 2025-09-22?$2.67Oct 5, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Napoli win on 2025-09-22?$2.00Sep 22, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2025-09-22?$2.00Sep 22, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhillies vs. Diamondbacks$1.30Sep 20, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMariners vs. Astros$1.00Sep 20, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$3.80Jun 14, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$3.95Jun 14, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$3.00Apr 20, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$3.00Apr 20, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMRangers vs. Devils$0.00Apr 20, 14:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $141.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 14:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".