Babyish-Starboard
0xaaf7948cec26d8b164934b9da65f8ff15a5c2e27
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$376.32
Total PnL
$204.08
Realised
$204.75
Win rate
76%
97 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 37.9¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$75.70
$73.70
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next?
159 shares @ 1.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$16.72
$14.97
- YES
Will John Mills be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
344 shares @ 1.9¢·now 4.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$15.13
$8.70
- YES
Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
735 shares @ 0.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$15.08
$12.50
- YES
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?
129 shares @ 0.8¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.35
$11.30
- YES
Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
799 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.79
$3.65
- YES
Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
3643 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.46
$1.46
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for Kansas City Chiefs next?
504 shares @ 0.1¢·now 1.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$5.04
$4.53
- YES
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
199 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.4¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$4.78
$1.27
- YES
Will SP win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?
255 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$4.72
$2.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$0.00Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 27?$0.00Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$0.00Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 27, 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 19 and 20 million views on day 2?$0.00Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$0.00Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill it rain during the Hungarian Grand Prix?$0.00Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 22 and 23 million views on day 2?$0.00Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 21 million views on day 2?$0.00Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$0.00Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$0.00Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get at least 23 million views on day 2?$0.00Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMMoonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?$0.00Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.17Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.91Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?$1.80Jul 27, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$1.99Jul 27, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?$1.69Jul 27, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ruslan Titov win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?$1.97Jul 27, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 97 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
97 closed markets, 76% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 14:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 97 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.