Ambitious-Talk
0xaaf952a33cdeacc4b07f23a653b093b0a10e0d23
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$90.05
Total PnL
$-194.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?
34 shares @ 59.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$33.82
$13.82
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$20.83
$15.83
- YES
Will Trump pass a border/immigration law in first 100 days?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$16.13
$6.13
- NO
Will Oracle buy TikTok?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$13.89
$3.89
- YES
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$5.38
$0.38
- YES
Will 150-200k federal employees accept the buyout?
172 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
151 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?
116 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?$5.00Feb 25, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Elon say "Paper Straw" during their Feb 18 interview?$0.00Feb 22, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $500m and $1b on Feb 21?$0.00Feb 22, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $200 on February 21?$0.00Feb 22, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Elon say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their Feb 18 interview?$0.00Feb 22, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Elon say "FEMA" during their Feb 18 interview?$0.00Feb 22, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before April? $5.00Feb 20, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump bans China from buying US farmland?$5.00Feb 20, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?$5.00Feb 20, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "Paper Straw" during their Feb 18 interview?$2.00Feb 17, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWas Milei hacked?$0.00Feb 17, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?$5.00Feb 16, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $500m and $1b on Feb 21?$2.00Feb 16, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their Feb 18 interview?$5.00Feb 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "FEMA" during their Feb 18 interview?$5.00Feb 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Milei hacked?$1.00Feb 15, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?$5.00Feb 15, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on June 30?$5.00Feb 15, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris announce California Governor run before July?$5.00Feb 15, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?$5.00Feb 15, 18:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 19:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 04:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".