Cultivated-Legacy
0xaafb45422af5d97840497f85e1808302ddfee81e
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$982.38
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$3.68
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 30?
50 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$49.98
$0.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 30?
40 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$39.98
$3.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 30?
40 shares @ 86.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$39.78
$5.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 30?
40 shares @ 92.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$39.76
$2.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 30?
40 shares @ 91.7¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$38.02
$1.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on July 31?
40 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$38.00
$0.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 30?
36 shares @ 92.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$35.97
$2.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 31?
35 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$34.04
$0.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 30?
30 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$29.98
$3.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 30?
30 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$29.98
$0.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 1?$1.70Jul 30, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 30?$40.00Jul 30, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 30?$50.00Jul 30, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 30?$18.20Jul 30, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 31?$1.92Jul 30, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 31?$6.52Jul 30, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 31?$4.80Jul 30, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 1?$18.50Jul 30, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 31?$3.17Jul 30, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on August 1?$18.00Jul 30, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 30?$6.02Jul 30, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 30?$8.40Jul 30, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 30?$18.20Jul 30, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 30?$18.40Jul 30, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 30?$29.40Jul 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 30?$16.38Jul 30, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 30?$1.82Jul 30, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 30?$9.50Jul 30, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 30?$16.31Jul 30, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 31?$12.85Jul 30, 09:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $11.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 23:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.