Concerned-Pill
0xab08360f6c6eeeacf76038ec79f303d484e48825
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$94.88
Total PnL
$-403.33
Realised
$0.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 4?
62 shares @ 71.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 4, 2026$60.85
$16.61
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 3?
34 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$33.93
$1.65
- YES
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?
186 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.09
$-43.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.01
$-3.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 16?
476 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-108.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 15?
229 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-81.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 1?
159 shares @ 65.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-103.52
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 13?
135 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-61.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 14?
67 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.95
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 27?
62 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 4?$14.608h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 4?$15.878h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 4?$14.418h ago
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 4?$176.288h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 4?$56.428h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 4?$117.728h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 2?$95.708h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 3?$192.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 3?$106.6719h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 3?$51.8619h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 3?$4.7619h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 3?$4.7619h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 3?$4.6719h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 3?$4.6719h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 3?$4.6719h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 3?$3.7621h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 3?$28.6021h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 2?$10.882d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 2?$25.032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 2?$22.602d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $35.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".