0xab0ad3e93d6b2d911a23f85b75beebd284571bb1
0xab0ad3e93d6b2d911a23f85b75beebd284571bb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.33
Realised
$-1.33
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.00Aug 14, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Aug 14, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$5.00Aug 14, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Aug 13, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.39Aug 13, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.09Aug 13, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.08Aug 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.05Aug 13, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.00Aug 13, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.00Aug 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Aug 13, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win on 2026-08-12?$7.99Aug 12, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$14.61Aug 12, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2.00Aug 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$2.20Aug 12, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 12?$1.00Aug 12, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRC Deportivo De La Coruna vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5$5.28Aug 12, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.76Aug 12, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$2.17Aug 12, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2026-08-12?$6.32Aug 12, 16:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 15:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 12:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.